Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a high of 25–26°C for Chengdu on September 18 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and humidity near 80%. This setup limits surface heating compared with clearer September days, keeping daytime maxima close to the long-term average of 25°C while suppressing stronger warming that would favor 27°C or higher. Minor model differences in cloud timing and any brief showers create the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C implied by current trader positioning, with resolution hinging on the exact peak observed by official stations before evening cooling sets in. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine the final range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日成都气温最高？
9月18日成都气温最高？
26°C 29%
25°C 27%
27°C 20%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
26°C 29%
25°C 27%
27°C 20%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$470 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$85 交易量
3%
23°C
$31 交易量
5%
24°C
$334 交易量
16%
25°C
$277 交易量
27%
26°C
$60 交易量
29%
27°C
$240 交易量
20%
28°C
$17 交易量
6%
29°C
$31 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$51 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a high of 25–26°C for Chengdu on September 18 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and humidity near 80%. This setup limits surface heating compared with clearer September days, keeping daytime maxima close to the long-term average of 25°C while suppressing stronger warming that would favor 27°C or higher. Minor model differences in cloud timing and any brief showers create the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C implied by current trader positioning, with resolution hinging on the exact peak observed by official stations before evening cooling sets in. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,596结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a high of 25–26°C for Chengdu on September 18 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and humidity near 80%. This setup limits surface heating compared with clearer September days, keeping daytime maxima close to the long-term average of 25°C while suppressing stronger warming that would favor 27°C or higher. Minor model differences in cloud timing and any brief showers create the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C implied by current trader positioning, with resolution hinging on the exact peak observed by official stations before evening cooling sets in. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,596结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a high of 25–26°C for Chengdu on September 18 under predominantly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and humidity near 80%. This setup limits surface heating compared with clearer September days, keeping daytime maxima close to the long-term average of 25°C while suppressing stronger warming that would favor 27°C or higher. Minor model differences in cloud timing and any brief showers create the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C implied by current trader positioning, with resolution hinging on the exact peak observed by official stations before evening cooling sets in. Updated guidance expected overnight could refine the final range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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