Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月18日马尼拉的最低温度？
20°C或以下 97%
30°C或更高 97%
24°C 40%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
97%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C或更高
97%
20°C或以下 97%
30°C或更高 97%
24°C 40%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
97%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
22%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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