**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and high atmospheric moisture are the main drivers keeping market odds tightly clustered around 24–25°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 17.** Frequent cloud cover and rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, while elevated humidity (often 85–95%) limits temperature drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C. Current model guidance shows overnight lows near 25°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions. Traders weigh the possibility of slightly clearer intervals allowing marginally greater cooling against the stabilizing effect of widespread showers, producing near-even implied probabilities across the 24–25°C range and very low odds for extremes. Final resolution hinges on official minimum readings from monitoring stations, with any late-day forecast adjustments from PAGASA likely to influence positioning before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月17日马尼拉的最低温度？
20°C或以下 100%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
100%
21°C
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
92%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
20°C或以下 100%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
21°C
$0 交易量
90%
22°C
$0 交易量
90%
23°C
$83 交易量
90%
24°C
$83 交易量
92%
25°C
$12 交易量
50%
26°C
$2,594 交易量
<1%
27°C
$52 交易量
<1%
28°C
$15 交易量
<1%
29°C
$15 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$18 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and high atmospheric moisture are the main drivers keeping market odds tightly clustered around 24–25°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 17.**
Frequent cloud cover and rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, while elevated humidity (often 85–95%) limits temperature drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C. Current model guidance shows overnight lows near 25°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions. Traders weigh the possibility of slightly clearer intervals allowing marginally greater cooling against the stabilizing effect of widespread showers, producing near-even implied probabilities across the 24–25°C range and very low odds for extremes. Final resolution hinges on official minimum readings from monitoring stations, with any late-day forecast adjustments from PAGASA likely to influence positioning before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,872结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and high atmospheric moisture are the main drivers keeping market odds tightly clustered around 24–25°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 17.**
Frequent cloud cover and rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, while elevated humidity (often 85–95%) limits temperature drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C. Current model guidance shows overnight lows near 25°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions. Traders weigh the possibility of slightly clearer intervals allowing marginally greater cooling against the stabilizing effect of widespread showers, producing near-even implied probabilities across the 24–25°C range and very low odds for extremes. Final resolution hinges on official minimum readings from monitoring stations, with any late-day forecast adjustments from PAGASA likely to influence positioning before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,872结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and high atmospheric moisture are the main drivers keeping market odds tightly clustered around 24–25°C for Manila’s lowest temperature on September 17.** Frequent cloud cover and rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, while elevated humidity (often 85–95%) limits temperature drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 25–26°C. Current model guidance shows overnight lows near 25°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions. Traders weigh the possibility of slightly clearer intervals allowing marginally greater cooling against the stabilizing effect of widespread showers, producing near-even implied probabilities across the 24–25°C range and very low odds for extremes. Final resolution hinges on official minimum readings from monitoring stations, with any late-day forecast adjustments from PAGASA likely to influence positioning before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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