Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Moscow's September 18 high will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover and possible showers, positioning 18°C as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime warming after a milder September 17, consistent with the seasonal decline from early-month peaks near 20°C toward the long-term average high of about 16°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with limited odds on 20°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and no strong warm advection. Updated model outputs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria around peak daily readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日莫斯科最高气温？
9月18日莫斯科最高气温？
18°C 49%
17°C 25%
19°C 16%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
16%
20°C或更高
6%
18°C 49%
17°C 25%
19°C 16%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
$349 交易量
<1%
11°C
$31 交易量
<1%
12°C
$31 交易量
<1%
13°C
$31 交易量
<1%
14°C
$100 交易量
3%
15°C
$11 交易量
2%
16°C
$99 交易量
9%
17°C
$226 交易量
25%
18°C
$1,592 交易量
49%
19°C
$299 交易量
16%
20°C或更高
$523 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Moscow's September 18 high will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover and possible showers, positioning 18°C as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime warming after a milder September 17, consistent with the seasonal decline from early-month peaks near 20°C toward the long-term average high of about 16°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with limited odds on 20°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and no strong warm advection. Updated model outputs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria around peak daily readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,293结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Moscow's September 18 high will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover and possible showers, positioning 18°C as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime warming after a milder September 17, consistent with the seasonal decline from early-month peaks near 20°C toward the long-term average high of about 16°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with limited odds on 20°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and no strong warm advection. Updated model outputs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria around peak daily readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,293结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Moscow's September 18 high will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover and possible showers, positioning 18°C as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Westerly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime warming after a milder September 17, consistent with the seasonal decline from early-month peaks near 20°C toward the long-term average high of about 16°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with limited odds on 20°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and no strong warm advection. Updated model outputs and official observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria around peak daily readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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