Recent forecast model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeast winds as the main driver keeping Madrid's September 19 minimum near 13–16 °C, close to the long-term average low of 14.9 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, with dew points around 8–10 °C limiting further drops, while slight variations in wind speed or timing across model runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these subtle differences in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日马德里最低气温？
9月19日马德里最低气温？
15°C 28%
14°C 24%
13°C 22%
12°C或以下 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
12°C或以下
17%
13°C
22%
14°C
24%
15°C
28%
16°C
14%
17°C
8%
18°C
7%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
2%
15°C 28%
14°C 24%
13°C 22%
12°C或以下 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
17%
13°C
$0 交易量
22%
14°C
$0 交易量
24%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
14%
17°C
$7 交易量
8%
18°C
$0 交易量
7%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeast winds as the main driver keeping Madrid's September 19 minimum near 13–16 °C, close to the long-term average low of 14.9 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, with dew points around 8–10 °C limiting further drops, while slight variations in wind speed or timing across model runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these subtle differences in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeast winds as the main driver keeping Madrid's September 19 minimum near 13–16 °C, close to the long-term average low of 14.9 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, with dew points around 8–10 °C limiting further drops, while slight variations in wind speed or timing across model runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these subtle differences in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeast winds as the main driver keeping Madrid's September 19 minimum near 13–16 °C, close to the long-term average low of 14.9 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor efficient heat loss after sunset, with dew points around 8–10 °C limiting further drops, while slight variations in wind speed or timing across model runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–15 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, leaving trader sentiment anchored to these subtle differences in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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