Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日伦敦气温最高？
9月17日伦敦气温最高？
21°C 54%
20°C 28%
22°C 15%
19°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
28%
21°C
54%
22°C
15%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
21°C 54%
20°C 28%
22°C 15%
19°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
$205 交易量
<1%
16°C
$108 交易量
<1%
17°C
$343 交易量
1%
18°C
$242 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,755 交易量
4%
20°C
$1,449 交易量
28%
21°C
$1,693 交易量
54%
22°C
$764 交易量
15%
23°C
$180 交易量
<1%
24°C
$380 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$149 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,268结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,268结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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