Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日伦敦最低气温？
9月16日伦敦最低气温？
14°C 99.5%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$6,600 交易量
$6,600 交易量
2026-09-16
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
14°C 99.5%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$6,600 交易量
$6,600 交易量
2026-09-16
8°C或以下
$91 交易量
否
9°C
$76 交易量
否
10°C
$76 交易量
否
11°C
$136 交易量
否
12°C
$1,521 交易量
否
13°C
$1,930 交易量
否
14°C
$1,363 交易量
是
15°C
$1,105 交易量
否
16°C
$91 交易量
否
17°C
$114 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$96 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$6,600结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,600结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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