Current forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 17–18 °C in Amsterdam on September 17, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and southwesterly winds near 15–17 mph limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn air masses, keeping temperatures below the long-term September average near 19 °C. Model runs show minor differences in the exact peak, often hinging on the timing and intensity of showers, which creates genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes and supports their closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
18°C 41%
17°C 37%
16°C 9%
19°C 8%
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
37%
18°C
41%
19°C
8%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
2%
18°C 41%
17°C 37%
16°C 9%
19°C 8%
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
37%
18°C
41%
19°C
8%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 17–18 °C in Amsterdam on September 17, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and southwesterly winds near 15–17 mph limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn air masses, keeping temperatures below the long-term September average near 19 °C. Model runs show minor differences in the exact peak, often hinging on the timing and intensity of showers, which creates genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes and supports their closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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