Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月15日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 19%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
39%
24°C
27%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
2%
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 19%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
19°C或以下
$39 交易量
1%
20°C
$224 交易量
5%
21°C
$43 交易量
3%
22°C
$32 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
27%
25°C
$0 交易量
6%
26°C
$20 交易量
3%
27°C
$10 交易量
4%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C或更高
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$388结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$388结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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