**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 98–100°F for Dallas on September 17, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 98–99°F range at 62% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth—well above the 89°F climatological normal—support the outlook, while heat advisories reflect elevated heat indices near 105°F. Minor model spread around 96–100°F explains the secondary probabilities for adjacent bins, with little change expected before the event as steering patterns remain stable. Updated NWS guidance and local observations on the 16th will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日达拉斯的最高温度?
98-99°F 62%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 16%
100-101°F 14%
89°F或以下
5%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
7%
94-95华氏度
11%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
7%
108°F或更高
5%
98-99°F 62%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 16%
100-101°F 14%
89°F或以下
5%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
7%
94-95华氏度
11%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
7%
108°F或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 98–100°F for Dallas on September 17, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 98–99°F range at 62% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth—well above the 89°F climatological normal—support the outlook, while heat advisories reflect elevated heat indices near 105°F. Minor model spread around 96–100°F explains the secondary probabilities for adjacent bins, with little change expected before the event as steering patterns remain stable. Updated NWS guidance and local observations on the 16th will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题