Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors overnight lows of 16–17°C rather than the seasonal average near 12–14°C, with model consensus showing only modest spread around these values. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 62% implied probability, reflecting slight upward bias from uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight. Fresh data releases from the Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final minimum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日伦敦最低气温？
9月19日伦敦最低气温？
17°C 62%
16°C 26%
18°C 15%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
12℃或以下
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
26%
17°C
62%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
2%
17°C 62%
16°C 26%
18°C 15%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
12℃或以下
$0 交易量
3%
13°C
$0 交易量
3%
14°C
$0 交易量
6%
15°C
$50 交易量
6%
16°C
$1,230 交易量
26%
17°C
$332 交易量
62%
18°C
$200 交易量
15%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors overnight lows of 16–17°C rather than the seasonal average near 12–14°C, with model consensus showing only modest spread around these values. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 62% implied probability, reflecting slight upward bias from uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight. Fresh data releases from the Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,811结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors overnight lows of 16–17°C rather than the seasonal average near 12–14°C, with model consensus showing only modest spread around these values. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 62% implied probability, reflecting slight upward bias from uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight. Fresh data releases from the Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,811结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors overnight lows of 16–17°C rather than the seasonal average near 12–14°C, with model consensus showing only modest spread around these values. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 62% implied probability, reflecting slight upward bias from uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds overnight. Fresh data releases from the Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final minimum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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