Recent forecasts for Karachi on September 19 show model consensus around 32–36 °C amid typical late-monsoon conditions, with southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea and variable cloud cover limiting afternoon heating. Historical September averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet short-range guidance from agencies like the Met Office and local ensembles diverges on exact peak values due to uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and insolation. This scientific spread explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across 32–37 °C, as traders weigh the latest model runs and expected clearing trends against climatological baselines. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日卡拉奇的最高温度?
34°C 40%
35°C 40%
37°C 39%
36°C 38%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
40%
35°C
40%
36°C
38%
37°C
39%
38°C
5%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 40%
35°C 40%
37°C 39%
36°C 38%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
40%
35°C
40%
36°C
38%
37°C
39%
38°C
5%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Karachi on September 19 show model consensus around 32–36 °C amid typical late-monsoon conditions, with southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea and variable cloud cover limiting afternoon heating. Historical September averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet short-range guidance from agencies like the Met Office and local ensembles diverges on exact peak values due to uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and insolation. This scientific spread explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across 32–37 °C, as traders weigh the latest model runs and expected clearing trends against climatological baselines. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题