Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 25–26°C in Panama City, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these outcomes. Persistent high humidity, typical of September’s rainy season, limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers introduce uncertainty in how much temperatures will drop before dawn. Historical September minima average 24–25°C, but short-term steering patterns and localized convection can shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from national weather agencies, along with real-time surface observations, will clarify whether conditions favor the 25°C or 26°C threshold as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日巴拿马城最低温度?
28°C 94%
27°C 90%
30°C或更高 84%
29°C 82%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
41%
23°C
45%
24°C
-
25°C
45%
26°C
38%
27°C
90%
28°C
94%
29°C
82%
30°C或更高
84%
28°C 94%
27°C 90%
30°C或更高 84%
29°C 82%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
41%
23°C
45%
24°C
-
25°C
45%
26°C
38%
27°C
90%
28°C
94%
29°C
82%
30°C或更高
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 25–26°C in Panama City, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these outcomes. Persistent high humidity, typical of September’s rainy season, limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and scattered showers introduce uncertainty in how much temperatures will drop before dawn. Historical September minima average 24–25°C, but short-term steering patterns and localized convection can shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from national weather agencies, along with real-time surface observations, will clarify whether conditions favor the 25°C or 26°C threshold as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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