Trader sentiment centers on the interplay between a persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow expected to cap San Francisco’s September 17 high near 70–73 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and regional model runs indicate morning low clouds and a slight drizzle chance giving way to partial afternoon clearing, with southwesterly winds limiting inland heating. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs hover around 71 °F at downtown and airport stations. Market-implied probabilities split between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins because small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2 °F. Updated afternoon observations and any late-model consensus shifts on boundary-layer mixing will likely determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日旧金山气温最高？
9月17日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 43%
72-73华氏度 38%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 6%
最新
$10,928 交易量
最新
$10,928 交易量
2026-09-17
63华氏度或以下
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
43%
72-73华氏度
38%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81华氏度
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73华氏度 38%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 6%
最新
$10,928 交易量
最新
$10,928 交易量
2026-09-17
63华氏度或以下
$269 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$149 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$122 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$2,339 交易量
14%
70-71°F
$925 交易量
43%
72-73华氏度
$3,217 交易量
38%
74-75°F
$787 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$159 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$228 交易量
<1%
80-81华氏度
$185 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$2,550 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the interplay between a persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow expected to cap San Francisco’s September 17 high near 70–73 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and regional model runs indicate morning low clouds and a slight drizzle chance giving way to partial afternoon clearing, with southwesterly winds limiting inland heating. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs hover around 71 °F at downtown and airport stations. Market-implied probabilities split between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins because small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2 °F. Updated afternoon observations and any late-model consensus shifts on boundary-layer mixing will likely determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,928结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the interplay between a persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow expected to cap San Francisco’s September 17 high near 70–73 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and regional model runs indicate morning low clouds and a slight drizzle chance giving way to partial afternoon clearing, with southwesterly winds limiting inland heating. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs hover around 71 °F at downtown and airport stations. Market-implied probabilities split between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins because small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2 °F. Updated afternoon observations and any late-model consensus shifts on boundary-layer mixing will likely determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,928结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on the interplay between a persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow expected to cap San Francisco’s September 17 high near 70–73 °F. Official National Weather Service guidance and regional model runs indicate morning low clouds and a slight drizzle chance giving way to partial afternoon clearing, with southwesterly winds limiting inland heating. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs hover around 71 °F at downtown and airport stations. Market-implied probabilities split between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins because small differences in cloud timing or wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2 °F. Updated afternoon observations and any late-model consensus shifts on boundary-layer mixing will likely determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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