Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical marine layer-influenced pattern for Los Angeles on September 17, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon clearing under moderate onshore southwest flow. This setup supports afternoon highs near the historical average of 76°F at downtown and airport stations, keeping the 76-77°F bin as the market leader. Stable GFS and other ensemble runs through September 16 show little day-to-day shift, with no offshore winds or upper-level ridging to drive warmer outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range for mid-September against the low probability of significant deviation, reflected in the combined 86.5% implied probability for 74-77°F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日洛杉矶气温最高？
9月17日洛杉矶气温最高？
76-77华氏度 49%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
63华氏度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
38%
76-77华氏度
49%
78-79°F
7%
80-81华氏度
1%
82°F或更高
1%
76-77华氏度 49%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
63华氏度或以下
$155 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$160 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$88 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$87 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$155 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$299 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$1,801 交易量
38%
76-77华氏度
$2,757 交易量
49%
78-79°F
$453 交易量
7%
80-81华氏度
$30 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$590 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical marine layer-influenced pattern for Los Angeles on September 17, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon clearing under moderate onshore southwest flow. This setup supports afternoon highs near the historical average of 76°F at downtown and airport stations, keeping the 76-77°F bin as the market leader. Stable GFS and other ensemble runs through September 16 show little day-to-day shift, with no offshore winds or upper-level ridging to drive warmer outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range for mid-September against the low probability of significant deviation, reflected in the combined 86.5% implied probability for 74-77°F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,574结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical marine layer-influenced pattern for Los Angeles on September 17, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon clearing under moderate onshore southwest flow. This setup supports afternoon highs near the historical average of 76°F at downtown and airport stations, keeping the 76-77°F bin as the market leader. Stable GFS and other ensemble runs through September 16 show little day-to-day shift, with no offshore winds or upper-level ridging to drive warmer outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range for mid-September against the low probability of significant deviation, reflected in the combined 86.5% implied probability for 74-77°F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,574结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical marine layer-influenced pattern for Los Angeles on September 17, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon clearing under moderate onshore southwest flow. This setup supports afternoon highs near the historical average of 76°F at downtown and airport stations, keeping the 76-77°F bin as the market leader. Stable GFS and other ensemble runs through September 16 show little day-to-day shift, with no offshore winds or upper-level ridging to drive warmer outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range for mid-September against the low probability of significant deviation, reflected in the combined 86.5% implied probability for 74-77°F. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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