Trader consensus on NYC's September 18 high temperature centers on low-80s readings because National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project a peak near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Clear conditions allow strong daytime solar heating above the seasonal average of 75.6°F, while modest winds limit vertical mixing that could cap the maximum. Slight differences between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any afternoon cloud buildup, with traders weighting recent model runs that favor the upper end of the range. Resolution hinges on official Central Park observations once the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日纽约市的最高温度？
9月18日纽约市的最高温度？
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 42%
84-85°F 4%
78-79°F 3%
$40,783 交易量
$40,783 交易量
2026-09-18
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 42%
84-85°F 4%
78-79°F 3%
$40,783 交易量
$40,783 交易量
2026-09-18
71°F或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$444 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,173 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,338 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$7,149 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$10,669 交易量
42%
82-83°F
$9,300 交易量
53%
84-85°F
$5,724 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$3,418 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$689 交易量
<1%
90°F或更高
$767 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on NYC's September 18 high temperature centers on low-80s readings because National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project a peak near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Clear conditions allow strong daytime solar heating above the seasonal average of 75.6°F, while modest winds limit vertical mixing that could cap the maximum. Slight differences between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any afternoon cloud buildup, with traders weighting recent model runs that favor the upper end of the range. Resolution hinges on official Central Park observations once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$40,783结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on NYC's September 18 high temperature centers on low-80s readings because National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project a peak near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Clear conditions allow strong daytime solar heating above the seasonal average of 75.6°F, while modest winds limit vertical mixing that could cap the maximum. Slight differences between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any afternoon cloud buildup, with traders weighting recent model runs that favor the upper end of the range. Resolution hinges on official Central Park observations once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,783结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETTrader consensus on NYC's September 18 high temperature centers on low-80s readings because National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project a peak near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Clear conditions allow strong daytime solar heating above the seasonal average of 75.6°F, while modest winds limit vertical mixing that could cap the maximum. Slight differences between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflect uncertainty in exact peak timing and any afternoon cloud buildup, with traders weighting recent model runs that favor the upper end of the range. Resolution hinges on official Central Park observations once the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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