Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月18日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
28°C 54%
29°C 28%
27°C 15%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
54%
29°C
28%
30°C
4%
31℃
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 54%
29°C 28%
27°C 15%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
24°C或以下
$251 交易量
1%
25°C
$356 交易量
1%
26°C
$408 交易量
3%
27°C
$699 交易量
15%
28°C
$1,865 交易量
54%
29°C
$1,657 交易量
28%
30°C
$510 交易量
4%
31℃
$269 交易量
1%
32°C
$303 交易量
<1%
33°C
$357 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$193 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,869结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,869结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from global and regional models, including runs aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon–Seoul area on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow. High pressure centered nearby suppresses strong vertical mixing while modest onshore winds limit daytime heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near 26°C. Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no signals for enhanced solar insolation or warm advection that would push readings toward 29°C or higher. Traders have priced the 28°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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