Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models shows a daytime high of 20–21 °C for London on 18 September under a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air. Moderate winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and near-average September humidity are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maxima close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Recent model runs have remained stable with no significant shifts in the 24–48 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around 20 °C (54.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for 21 °C if skies clear more than anticipated. Resolution will hinge on the official Met Office maximum recorded at the London site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日伦敦气温最高？
9月18日伦敦气温最高？
20°C 56%
21°C 27%
19°C 16%
18°C 3%
最新
$12,432 交易量
最新
$12,432 交易量
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
56%
21°C
27%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
20°C 56%
21°C 27%
19°C 16%
18°C 3%
最新
$12,432 交易量
最新
$12,432 交易量
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$197 交易量
<1%
16°C
$251 交易量
<1%
17°C
$51 交易量
1%
18°C
$969 交易量
3%
19°C
$2,412 交易量
16%
20°C
$3,725 交易量
56%
21°C
$2,334 交易量
27%
22°C
$1,021 交易量
1%
23°C
$657 交易量
1%
24°C
$253 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$562 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models shows a daytime high of 20–21 °C for London on 18 September under a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air. Moderate winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and near-average September humidity are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maxima close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Recent model runs have remained stable with no significant shifts in the 24–48 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around 20 °C (54.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for 21 °C if skies clear more than anticipated. Resolution will hinge on the official Met Office maximum recorded at the London site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$12,432结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models shows a daytime high of 20–21 °C for London on 18 September under a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air. Moderate winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and near-average September humidity are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maxima close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Recent model runs have remained stable with no significant shifts in the 24–48 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around 20 °C (54.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for 21 °C if skies clear more than anticipated. Resolution will hinge on the official Met Office maximum recorded at the London site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,432结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models shows a daytime high of 20–21 °C for London on 18 September under a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air. Moderate winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and near-average September humidity are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maxima close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Recent model runs have remained stable with no significant shifts in the 24–48 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around 20 °C (54.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for 21 °C if skies clear more than anticipated. Resolution will hinge on the official Met Office maximum recorded at the London site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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