Recent forecast models project a daytime high near 24°C in Mexico City on September 17 amid northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and light rain chances that suppress peak warming. This aligns with the seasonal September average high of 23–24°C and recent observations showing similar mild conditions without heatwave drivers. Trader consensus reflects these factors, assigning the strongest implied probability to 24°C while leaving room for 25°C or higher if skies clear more than expected. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical short-range forecast variability in tropical highland settings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日墨西哥城气温最高?
24°C 47%
25°C或更高 26%
23°C 24%
22°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
47%
25°C或更高
26%
24°C 47%
25°C或更高 26%
23°C 24%
22°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
47%
25°C或更高
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models project a daytime high near 24°C in Mexico City on September 17 amid northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and light rain chances that suppress peak warming. This aligns with the seasonal September average high of 23–24°C and recent observations showing similar mild conditions without heatwave drivers. Trader consensus reflects these factors, assigning the strongest implied probability to 24°C while leaving room for 25°C or higher if skies clear more than expected. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical short-range forecast variability in tropical highland settings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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