**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 70–72°F for San Francisco on September 19, driven by typical late-summer onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime warming.** Persistent west to southwest winds of 10–20 mph, combined with morning cloud cover or patchy fog, are expected to keep the city cooler than inland valleys, where highs may reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Historical September averages hover around 71°F, and current model consensus shows no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push temperatures significantly higher. Minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum between the 68–73°F range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those bins. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日旧金山气温最高？
9月19日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 36%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
65°F或以下
5%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
12%
80-81华氏度
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F或更高
1%
70-71°F 36%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
65°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
7%
68-69°F
$80 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$473 交易量
36%
72-73°F
$116 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
17%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
12%
80-81华氏度
$0 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
2%
84°F或更高
$16 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 70–72°F for San Francisco on September 19, driven by typical late-summer onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime warming.**
Persistent west to southwest winds of 10–20 mph, combined with morning cloud cover or patchy fog, are expected to keep the city cooler than inland valleys, where highs may reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Historical September averages hover around 71°F, and current model consensus shows no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push temperatures significantly higher. Minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum between the 68–73°F range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those bins. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$684结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 70–72°F for San Francisco on September 19, driven by typical late-summer onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime warming.**
Persistent west to southwest winds of 10–20 mph, combined with morning cloud cover or patchy fog, are expected to keep the city cooler than inland valleys, where highs may reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Historical September averages hover around 71°F, and current model consensus shows no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push temperatures significantly higher. Minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum between the 68–73°F range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those bins. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$684结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 70–72°F for San Francisco on September 19, driven by typical late-summer onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime warming.** Persistent west to southwest winds of 10–20 mph, combined with morning cloud cover or patchy fog, are expected to keep the city cooler than inland valleys, where highs may reach the upper 70s or low 80s. Historical September averages hover around 71°F, and current model consensus shows no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push temperatures significantly higher. Minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum between the 68–73°F range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those bins. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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