Recent trader positioning around 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City on September 19 reflects the narrow diurnal range typical of the region’s tropical wet-season climate, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Official observations from regional stations show overnight lows modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and any passing tropical waves, which can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree or two depending on wind speed and precipitation timing. With multiple outcomes clustered near 50% implied probability, markets capture the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact hourly minimum amid variable local conditions and minor differences between reporting sites. Updated synoptic analyses and station data expected in the coming days will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日巴拿马城最低温度？
9月19日巴拿马城最低温度？
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
27°C 80%
25°C 51%
$1,164 交易量
$1,164 交易量
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
45%
24°C
100%
25°C
51%
26°C
50%
27°C
80%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
27°C 80%
25°C 51%
$1,164 交易量
$1,164 交易量
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
$591 交易量
1%
21°C
$41 交易量
1%
22°C
$41 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
45%
24°C
$15 交易量
100%
25°C
$7 交易量
51%
26°C
$24 交易量
50%
27°C
$0 交易量
80%
28°C
$31 交易量
<1%
29°C
$53 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$361 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent trader positioning around 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City on September 19 reflects the narrow diurnal range typical of the region’s tropical wet-season climate, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Official observations from regional stations show overnight lows modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and any passing tropical waves, which can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree or two depending on wind speed and precipitation timing. With multiple outcomes clustered near 50% implied probability, markets capture the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact hourly minimum amid variable local conditions and minor differences between reporting sites. Updated synoptic analyses and station data expected in the coming days will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,164结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent trader positioning around 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City on September 19 reflects the narrow diurnal range typical of the region’s tropical wet-season climate, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Official observations from regional stations show overnight lows modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and any passing tropical waves, which can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree or two depending on wind speed and precipitation timing. With multiple outcomes clustered near 50% implied probability, markets capture the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact hourly minimum amid variable local conditions and minor differences between reporting sites. Updated synoptic analyses and station data expected in the coming days will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,164结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent trader positioning around 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Panama City on September 19 reflects the narrow diurnal range typical of the region’s tropical wet-season climate, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Official observations from regional stations show overnight lows modulated by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and any passing tropical waves, which can suppress or enhance cooling by a degree or two depending on wind speed and precipitation timing. With multiple outcomes clustered near 50% implied probability, markets capture the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact hourly minimum amid variable local conditions and minor differences between reporting sites. Updated synoptic analyses and station data expected in the coming days will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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