Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds to Moscow on September 22, 2026, with projected overnight lows clustered between roughly 12–15 °C. This range sits well above the long-term climatological minimum near 7 °C yet leaves room for modest cooling if cloud cover thickens and winds weaken after midnight. The near-even market-implied probabilities for 7 °C or below versus 17 °C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of the rain-cooled boundary layer versus residual southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日莫斯科最低气温？
9月22日莫斯科最低气温？
7°C或以下 100%
17°C或更高 95%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
100%
8°C
18%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
26%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C或更高
95%
7°C或以下 100%
17°C或更高 95%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
8°C
$0 交易量
18%
9°C
$0 交易量
40%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds to Moscow on September 22, 2026, with projected overnight lows clustered between roughly 12–15 °C. This range sits well above the long-term climatological minimum near 7 °C yet leaves room for modest cooling if cloud cover thickens and winds weaken after midnight. The near-even market-implied probabilities for 7 °C or below versus 17 °C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of the rain-cooled boundary layer versus residual southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds to Moscow on September 22, 2026, with projected overnight lows clustered between roughly 12–15 °C. This range sits well above the long-term climatological minimum near 7 °C yet leaves room for modest cooling if cloud cover thickens and winds weaken after midnight. The near-even market-implied probabilities for 7 °C or below versus 17 °C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of the rain-cooled boundary layer versus residual southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds to Moscow on September 22, 2026, with projected overnight lows clustered between roughly 12–15 °C. This range sits well above the long-term climatological minimum near 7 °C yet leaves room for modest cooling if cloud cover thickens and winds weaken after midnight. The near-even market-implied probabilities for 7 °C or below versus 17 °C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of the rain-cooled boundary layer versus residual southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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