Current numerical weather models for Ankara on September 21 project a daytime maximum of 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 26°C and 25°C. Seasonal cooling in central Turkey’s continental climate has reduced typical September highs from the mid-20s earlier in the month, while recent observations show consistent afternoon peaks near 23–25°C without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress heating. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift the peak by 1°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service’s next updated guidance and any late-model runs represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日安卡拉的最高温度？
9月21日安卡拉的最高温度？
26°C 65%
25°C 30%
24°C 4%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
30%
26°C
65%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 65%
25°C 30%
24°C 4%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
21°C或以下
$88 交易量
1%
22°C
$191 交易量
1%
23°C
$551 交易量
2%
24°C
$859 交易量
4%
25°C
$957 交易量
30%
26°C
$4,963 交易量
65%
27°C
$778 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$445 交易量
1%
30°C
$125 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$211 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Ankara on September 21 project a daytime maximum of 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 26°C and 25°C. Seasonal cooling in central Turkey’s continental climate has reduced typical September highs from the mid-20s earlier in the month, while recent observations show consistent afternoon peaks near 23–25°C without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress heating. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift the peak by 1°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service’s next updated guidance and any late-model runs represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,168结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Ankara on September 21 project a daytime maximum of 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 26°C and 25°C. Seasonal cooling in central Turkey’s continental climate has reduced typical September highs from the mid-20s earlier in the month, while recent observations show consistent afternoon peaks near 23–25°C without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress heating. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift the peak by 1°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service’s next updated guidance and any late-model runs represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,168结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models for Ankara on September 21 project a daytime maximum of 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 26°C and 25°C. Seasonal cooling in central Turkey’s continental climate has reduced typical September highs from the mid-20s earlier in the month, while recent observations show consistent afternoon peaks near 23–25°C without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress heating. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift the peak by 1°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service’s next updated guidance and any late-model runs represent the primary near-term catalysts for trader adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题