Current forecast models for Guangzhou indicate a low near 26–27°C on September 22 amid expected thunderstorms and rain, with historical September averages around 24°C and typical daily lows near 23–24°C. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and humidity levels create the main uncertainty, as heavier overnight rain could suppress temperatures toward the lower 20s while clearer intervals or residual warmth might keep readings closer to 28°C. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflect this model spread and the narrow window for resolution, with fresh numerical guidance from regional centers likely to clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer cooling before the minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日广州最低气温?
21℃或以下 99%
31°C或更高 98%
28°C 40%
22°C 39%
21℃或以下
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
98%
21℃或以下 99%
31°C或更高 98%
28°C 40%
22°C 39%
21℃或以下
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Guangzhou indicate a low near 26–27°C on September 22 amid expected thunderstorms and rain, with historical September averages around 24°C and typical daily lows near 23–24°C. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and humidity levels create the main uncertainty, as heavier overnight rain could suppress temperatures toward the lower 20s while clearer intervals or residual warmth might keep readings closer to 28°C. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflect this model spread and the narrow window for resolution, with fresh numerical guidance from regional centers likely to clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer cooling before the minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题