Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, sustaining humid, tropical air masses with overnight lows near 27°C for Guangzhou on September 20—several degrees above the 1991–2020 average of 23.8°C. High humidity (around 70–80%) and scattered cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower minima. This consensus supports market-implied odds near even between sub-21°C extremes and 31°C+ readings, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any minor frontal influences rather than broad cooling trends. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日广州最低气温？
9月20日广州最低气温？
21°C或以下 92%
31°C或更高 92%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
92%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
40%
30°C
40%
31°C或更高
92%
21°C或以下 92%
31°C或更高 92%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
92%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
22%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
40%
30°C
$0 交易量
40%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, sustaining humid, tropical air masses with overnight lows near 27°C for Guangzhou on September 20—several degrees above the 1991–2020 average of 23.8°C. High humidity (around 70–80%) and scattered cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower minima. This consensus supports market-implied odds near even between sub-21°C extremes and 31°C+ readings, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any minor frontal influences rather than broad cooling trends. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, sustaining humid, tropical air masses with overnight lows near 27°C for Guangzhou on September 20—several degrees above the 1991–2020 average of 23.8°C. High humidity (around 70–80%) and scattered cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower minima. This consensus supports market-implied odds near even between sub-21°C extremes and 31°C+ readings, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any minor frontal influences rather than broad cooling trends. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, sustaining humid, tropical air masses with overnight lows near 27°C for Guangzhou on September 20—several degrees above the 1991–2020 average of 23.8°C. High humidity (around 70–80%) and scattered cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower minima. This consensus supports market-implied odds near even between sub-21°C extremes and 31°C+ readings, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any minor frontal influences rather than broad cooling trends. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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