Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 18 will most likely reach 22–24°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this range, reflecting typical mid-September climatology near 24°C highs but adjusted downward by the current synoptic pattern of instability and reduced insolation. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader assessment of model consensus, while the spread to 24°C and 22°C captures uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation intensity before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日安卡拉的最高温度？
9月18日安卡拉的最高温度？
23°C 44%
24°C 29%
22°C 19%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
17°C或以下
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
34%
24°C
29%
25℃
6%
26°C
5%
27°C或更高
6%
23°C 44%
24°C 29%
22°C 19%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
17°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
7%
22°C
$40 交易量
19%
23°C
$25 交易量
34%
24°C
$103 交易量
29%
25℃
$0 交易量
6%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 18 will most likely reach 22–24°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this range, reflecting typical mid-September climatology near 24°C highs but adjusted downward by the current synoptic pattern of instability and reduced insolation. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader assessment of model consensus, while the spread to 24°C and 22°C captures uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation intensity before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$160结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 18 will most likely reach 22–24°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this range, reflecting typical mid-September climatology near 24°C highs but adjusted downward by the current synoptic pattern of instability and reduced insolation. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader assessment of model consensus, while the spread to 24°C and 22°C captures uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation intensity before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$160结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 18 will most likely reach 22–24°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this range, reflecting typical mid-September climatology near 24°C highs but adjusted downward by the current synoptic pattern of instability and reduced insolation. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader assessment of model consensus, while the spread to 24°C and 22°C captures uncertainty in exact maximum timing and precipitation intensity before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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