Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project an overnight low of 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds, light onshore westerly flow, and dew points near 54–56°F that limit radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 56–57°F bin, aligning with its dominant 76.5% market-implied probability. Typical September climatology shows an average low near 55.8°F, so current conditions reflect modest above-normal warmth from suppressed clear-sky cooling rather than any anomalous heat wave. With resolution imminent and no significant forecast shifts anticipated before dawn, traders have converged on this narrow range while assigning lower but non-zero odds to cooler outcomes should localized clearing develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日旧金山最低气温？
9月20日旧金山最低气温？
51°F或更低 100%
56-57°F 70%
52-53°F 47%
54-55°F 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
51°F或更低
100%
52-53°F
47%
54-55°F
47%
56-57°F
80%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69华氏度
<1%
70°F或更高
<1%
51°F或更低 100%
56-57°F 70%
52-53°F 47%
54-55°F 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
51°F或更低
$0 交易量
100%
52-53°F
$1 交易量
47%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
47%
56-57°F
$121 交易量
80%
58-59°F
$685 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,294 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$37 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$31 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$31 交易量
<1%
68-69华氏度
$31 交易量
<1%
70°F或更高
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project an overnight low of 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds, light onshore westerly flow, and dew points near 54–56°F that limit radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 56–57°F bin, aligning with its dominant 76.5% market-implied probability. Typical September climatology shows an average low near 55.8°F, so current conditions reflect modest above-normal warmth from suppressed clear-sky cooling rather than any anomalous heat wave. With resolution imminent and no significant forecast shifts anticipated before dawn, traders have converged on this narrow range while assigning lower but non-zero odds to cooler outcomes should localized clearing develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,248结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project an overnight low of 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds, light onshore westerly flow, and dew points near 54–56°F that limit radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 56–57°F bin, aligning with its dominant 76.5% market-implied probability. Typical September climatology shows an average low near 55.8°F, so current conditions reflect modest above-normal warmth from suppressed clear-sky cooling rather than any anomalous heat wave. With resolution imminent and no significant forecast shifts anticipated before dawn, traders have converged on this narrow range while assigning lower but non-zero odds to cooler outcomes should localized clearing develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,248结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project an overnight low of 57–58°F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds, light onshore westerly flow, and dew points near 54–56°F that limit radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 56–57°F bin, aligning with its dominant 76.5% market-implied probability. Typical September climatology shows an average low near 55.8°F, so current conditions reflect modest above-normal warmth from suppressed clear-sky cooling rather than any anomalous heat wave. With resolution imminent and no significant forecast shifts anticipated before dawn, traders have converged on this narrow range while assigning lower but non-zero odds to cooler outcomes should localized clearing develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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