Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure near 1013 hPa with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions support daytime warming to that level while limiting further rise, consistent with the market's 68.5% implied probability on 21°C versus lower shares for 20°C or 22°C. The outlook aligns closely with updated runs showing afternoon peaks around 20–21°C and contrasts with September climatological highs near 17–19°C. No major model divergences appear in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on confirmation of the exact daily maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日莫斯科最高气温？
9月17日莫斯科最高气温？
21°C 69%
22°C 16%
20°C 11%
19°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
69%
22°C
16%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C或更高
1%
21°C 69%
22°C 16%
20°C 11%
19°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
$239 交易量
<1%
16°C
$197 交易量
1%
17°C
$161 交易量
2%
18°C
$124 交易量
2%
19°C
$264 交易量
5%
20°C
$837 交易量
11%
21°C
$1,479 交易量
69%
22°C
$112 交易量
16%
23°C
$355 交易量
3%
24°C
$62 交易量
2%
25°C或更高
$211 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure near 1013 hPa with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions support daytime warming to that level while limiting further rise, consistent with the market's 68.5% implied probability on 21°C versus lower shares for 20°C or 22°C. The outlook aligns closely with updated runs showing afternoon peaks around 20–21°C and contrasts with September climatological highs near 17–19°C. No major model divergences appear in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on confirmation of the exact daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,040结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure near 1013 hPa with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions support daytime warming to that level while limiting further rise, consistent with the market's 68.5% implied probability on 21°C versus lower shares for 20°C or 22°C. The outlook aligns closely with updated runs showing afternoon peaks around 20–21°C and contrasts with September climatological highs near 17–19°C. No major model divergences appear in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on confirmation of the exact daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,040结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 21°C in Moscow on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure near 1013 hPa with negligible precipitation risk. These conditions support daytime warming to that level while limiting further rise, consistent with the market's 68.5% implied probability on 21°C versus lower shares for 20°C or 22°C. The outlook aligns closely with updated runs showing afternoon peaks around 20–21°C and contrasts with September climatological highs near 17–19°C. No major model divergences appear in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on confirmation of the exact daily maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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