Current forecasts for Manila on September 19 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ. These factors suppress radiational cooling by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky temperature drops, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ extremes because model runs show sensitivity to variables like exact cloud thickness, wind speed at the surface, and any localized convective outbreaks that could briefly alter the diurnal range. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined model ensembles in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied probability distribution around the mid-20s range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日马尼拉最低温度？
9月19日马尼拉最低温度？
31°C或更高 92%
21°C或以下 90%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
90%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
24%
26°C
23%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
92%
31°C或更高 92%
21°C或以下 90%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
24%
26°C
$0 交易量
23%
27°C
$0 交易量
40%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C
$0 交易量
39%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 19 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ. These factors suppress radiational cooling by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky temperature drops, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ extremes because model runs show sensitivity to variables like exact cloud thickness, wind speed at the surface, and any localized convective outbreaks that could briefly alter the diurnal range. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined model ensembles in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied probability distribution around the mid-20s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 19 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ. These factors suppress radiational cooling by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky temperature drops, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ extremes because model runs show sensitivity to variables like exact cloud thickness, wind speed at the surface, and any localized convective outbreaks that could briefly alter the diurnal range. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined model ensembles in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied probability distribution around the mid-20s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Manila on September 19 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ. These factors suppress radiational cooling by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky temperature drops, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ extremes because model runs show sensitivity to variables like exact cloud thickness, wind speed at the surface, and any localized convective outbreaks that could briefly alter the diurnal range. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined model ensembles in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied probability distribution around the mid-20s range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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