**Forecast model spreads create tight odds between sub-3°C and 13°C+ minima for Moscow on September 19.** Recent GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs show overnight lows clustered near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, but small differences in cloud timing or a late-arriving cooler air mass could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or wind would limit it. Historical September minima average around 7–8°C, yet current guidance sits above that baseline. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日莫斯科最低气温？
9月19日莫斯科最低气温？
3°C或以下 100%
13°C或更高 98%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
3°C或以下
100%
4°C
40%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8℃
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C或更高
98%
3°C或以下 100%
13°C或更高 98%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
3°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
4°C
$0 交易量
40%
5°C
$0 交易量
40%
6°C
$0 交易量
40%
7°C
$0 交易量
40%
8℃
$0 交易量
40%
9°C
$0 交易量
40%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads create tight odds between sub-3°C and 13°C+ minima for Moscow on September 19.** Recent GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs show overnight lows clustered near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, but small differences in cloud timing or a late-arriving cooler air mass could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or wind would limit it. Historical September minima average around 7–8°C, yet current guidance sits above that baseline. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads create tight odds between sub-3°C and 13°C+ minima for Moscow on September 19.** Recent GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs show overnight lows clustered near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, but small differences in cloud timing or a late-arriving cooler air mass could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or wind would limit it. Historical September minima average around 7–8°C, yet current guidance sits above that baseline. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast model spreads create tight odds between sub-3°C and 13°C+ minima for Moscow on September 19.** Recent GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs show overnight lows clustered near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, but small differences in cloud timing or a late-arriving cooler air mass could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions would favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of the range, while increased moisture or wind would limit it. Historical September minima average around 7–8°C, yet current guidance sits above that baseline. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题