Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and model consensus point to a northeasterly wind regime keeping Taipei's overnight lows in the 22–25 °C range for September 19, with scattered light showers possible but limited cooling from any frontal passage. This aligns with climatological September minima near 24 °C and explains elevated market-implied odds on 22 °C alongside the surprising lead for 28 °C or higher, which may reflect trader caution over forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and a distant tropical depression steering clear support modest day-to-day consistency, though fresh model runs ahead of the weekend could shift probabilities if winds weaken or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日台北气温最低？
9月19日台北气温最低？
28°C或更高 71%
20°C 39%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
18℃或以下
34%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C
21%
22°C
27%
23°C
30%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C或更高
71%
28°C或更高 71%
20°C 39%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
18℃或以下
$0 交易量
34%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
21%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
30%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
71%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and model consensus point to a northeasterly wind regime keeping Taipei's overnight lows in the 22–25 °C range for September 19, with scattered light showers possible but limited cooling from any frontal passage. This aligns with climatological September minima near 24 °C and explains elevated market-implied odds on 22 °C alongside the surprising lead for 28 °C or higher, which may reflect trader caution over forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and a distant tropical depression steering clear support modest day-to-day consistency, though fresh model runs ahead of the weekend could shift probabilities if winds weaken or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and model consensus point to a northeasterly wind regime keeping Taipei's overnight lows in the 22–25 °C range for September 19, with scattered light showers possible but limited cooling from any frontal passage. This aligns with climatological September minima near 24 °C and explains elevated market-implied odds on 22 °C alongside the surprising lead for 28 °C or higher, which may reflect trader caution over forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and a distant tropical depression steering clear support modest day-to-day consistency, though fresh model runs ahead of the weekend could shift probabilities if winds weaken or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Central Weather Administration guidance and model consensus point to a northeasterly wind regime keeping Taipei's overnight lows in the 22–25 °C range for September 19, with scattered light showers possible but limited cooling from any frontal passage. This aligns with climatological September minima near 24 °C and explains elevated market-implied odds on 22 °C alongside the surprising lead for 28 °C or higher, which may reflect trader caution over forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and a distant tropical depression steering clear support modest day-to-day consistency, though fresh model runs ahead of the weekend could shift probabilities if winds weaken or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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