Recent forecast model runs show closely matched probabilities for Busan’s September 19 minimum temperature, with trader-implied odds split between 25°C or higher and 15°C or below. This reflects genuine uncertainty in the steering pattern of a mid-latitude trough interacting with warmer-than-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures. Coastal moderation from the East Sea typically limits diurnal swings, yet a stronger northerly flow could pull cooler continental air southward, while a stalled southerly regime would sustain higher readings. Historical September minima in Busan average near 18–20°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in 500 hPa heights. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycle will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日釜山气温最低？
9月19日釜山气温最低？
25°C或更高 83%
15°C或以下 82%
19°C 39%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
15°C或以下
82%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
17%
19°C
39%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C或更高
83%
25°C或更高 83%
15°C或以下 82%
19°C 39%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
82%
16°C
$0 交易量
13%
17°C
$0 交易量
13%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
28%
22°C
$17 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show closely matched probabilities for Busan’s September 19 minimum temperature, with trader-implied odds split between 25°C or higher and 15°C or below. This reflects genuine uncertainty in the steering pattern of a mid-latitude trough interacting with warmer-than-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures. Coastal moderation from the East Sea typically limits diurnal swings, yet a stronger northerly flow could pull cooler continental air southward, while a stalled southerly regime would sustain higher readings. Historical September minima in Busan average near 18–20°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in 500 hPa heights. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycle will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$17结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show closely matched probabilities for Busan’s September 19 minimum temperature, with trader-implied odds split between 25°C or higher and 15°C or below. This reflects genuine uncertainty in the steering pattern of a mid-latitude trough interacting with warmer-than-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures. Coastal moderation from the East Sea typically limits diurnal swings, yet a stronger northerly flow could pull cooler continental air southward, while a stalled southerly regime would sustain higher readings. Historical September minima in Busan average near 18–20°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in 500 hPa heights. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycle will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast model runs show closely matched probabilities for Busan’s September 19 minimum temperature, with trader-implied odds split between 25°C or higher and 15°C or below. This reflects genuine uncertainty in the steering pattern of a mid-latitude trough interacting with warmer-than-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures. Coastal moderation from the East Sea typically limits diurnal swings, yet a stronger northerly flow could pull cooler continental air southward, while a stalled southerly regime would sustain higher readings. Historical September minima in Busan average near 18–20°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small shifts in 500 hPa heights. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycle will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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