Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daytime maximum of 23–24°C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow. This consensus, following cooler and showery conditions on September 16–17, positions those two outcomes as the clear market leaders at 56% and 32.5% implied probability. Limited warming potential stems from stable high pressure and modest insolation, while small spreads in model guidance around cloud cover and wind timing account for the remaining probability mass on 21°C or 25°C. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings from the Istanbul network, with the last model updates expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
23°C 59%
24°C 35%
25°C 4%
22°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
59%
24°C
35%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
23°C 59%
24°C 35%
25°C 4%
22°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$13 交易量
2%
21°C
$60 交易量
2%
22°C
$63 交易量
4%
23°C
$451 交易量
59%
24°C
$128 交易量
35%
25°C
$151 交易量
4%
26°C
$88 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$147 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$147 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daytime maximum of 23–24°C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow. This consensus, following cooler and showery conditions on September 16–17, positions those two outcomes as the clear market leaders at 56% and 32.5% implied probability. Limited warming potential stems from stable high pressure and modest insolation, while small spreads in model guidance around cloud cover and wind timing account for the remaining probability mass on 21°C or 25°C. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings from the Istanbul network, with the last model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,248结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daytime maximum of 23–24°C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow. This consensus, following cooler and showery conditions on September 16–17, positions those two outcomes as the clear market leaders at 56% and 32.5% implied probability. Limited warming potential stems from stable high pressure and modest insolation, while small spreads in model guidance around cloud cover and wind timing account for the remaining probability mass on 21°C or 25°C. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings from the Istanbul network, with the last model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,248结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daytime maximum of 23–24°C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow. This consensus, following cooler and showery conditions on September 16–17, positions those two outcomes as the clear market leaders at 56% and 32.5% implied probability. Limited warming potential stems from stable high pressure and modest insolation, while small spreads in model guidance around cloud cover and wind timing account for the remaining probability mass on 21°C or 25°C. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings from the Istanbul network, with the last model updates expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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