Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing on September 18, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating a maximum of 21–24°C under steady northeasterly flow and high humidity near 90%. Multiple model runs and station observations confirm limited insolation and evaporative cooling from ongoing precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 99.5% probability for 22°C or below. This outcome reflects the consensus of surface data and short-range guidance rather than climatological norms for mid-September. A rapid clearance of clouds or a shift in steering patterns could allow modest warming above the threshold, though current conditions make such a reversal improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日重庆气温最高？
9月18日重庆气温最高？
22℃及以下 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,106 交易量
$32,106 交易量
2026-09-18
22℃及以下
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
22℃及以下 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,106 交易量
$32,106 交易量
2026-09-18
22℃及以下
$10,819 交易量
99%
23°C
$4,864 交易量
1%
24°C
$3,869 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,325 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,723 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,647 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,489 交易量
<1%
29°C
$550 交易量
<1%
30°C
$959 交易量
<1%
31°C
$442 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$419 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing on September 18, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating a maximum of 21–24°C under steady northeasterly flow and high humidity near 90%. Multiple model runs and station observations confirm limited insolation and evaporative cooling from ongoing precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 99.5% probability for 22°C or below. This outcome reflects the consensus of surface data and short-range guidance rather than climatological norms for mid-September. A rapid clearance of clouds or a shift in steering patterns could allow modest warming above the threshold, though current conditions make such a reversal improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$32,106结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing on September 18, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating a maximum of 21–24°C under steady northeasterly flow and high humidity near 90%. Multiple model runs and station observations confirm limited insolation and evaporative cooling from ongoing precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 99.5% probability for 22°C or below. This outcome reflects the consensus of surface data and short-range guidance rather than climatological norms for mid-September. A rapid clearance of clouds or a shift in steering patterns could allow modest warming above the threshold, though current conditions make such a reversal improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,106结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing on September 18, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicating a maximum of 21–24°C under steady northeasterly flow and high humidity near 90%. Multiple model runs and station observations confirm limited insolation and evaporative cooling from ongoing precipitation, aligning with the market-implied 99.5% probability for 22°C or below. This outcome reflects the consensus of surface data and short-range guidance rather than climatological norms for mid-September. A rapid clearance of clouds or a shift in steering patterns could allow modest warming above the threshold, though current conditions make such a reversal improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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