Recent heavy September rainfall across São Paulo, already the wettest on record since 1943 with over 250 mm by mid-month, sustained high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limited nighttime radiative cooling on the 20th. Official stations recorded overnight lows near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, keeping temperatures above typical September minima around 12–14°C. Traders see near-even odds between an 18°C low and cooler outcomes because final Inmet or airport readings can vary by station and timing, while models showed minor disagreements on exact dew-point depression. Upcoming official daily summaries will clarify whether the minimum crossed below 18°C amid these moist, stable conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日圣保罗最低温度?
18°C 99%
13°C或以下 3%
14°C 3%
15°C 3%
$713 交易量
$713 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
18°C 99%
13°C或以下 3%
14°C 3%
15°C 3%
$713 交易量
$713 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent heavy September rainfall across São Paulo, already the wettest on record since 1943 with over 250 mm by mid-month, sustained high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limited nighttime radiative cooling on the 20th. Official stations recorded overnight lows near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, keeping temperatures above typical September minima around 12–14°C. Traders see near-even odds between an 18°C low and cooler outcomes because final Inmet or airport readings can vary by station and timing, while models showed minor disagreements on exact dew-point depression. Upcoming official daily summaries will clarify whether the minimum crossed below 18°C amid these moist, stable conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题