Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 27–28°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance from multiple models shows mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with minimal precipitation, keeping maximum temperatures in a narrow range around seasonal norms of 25–28°C rather than allowing stronger insolation that could push readings toward 30°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate surface warming, while any brief clearing could differentiate between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日成都气温最高？
9月21日成都气温最高？
28°C 28%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
26°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
6%
25°C
17%
26°C
18%
27°C
17%
28°C
28%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34℃或更高
2%
28°C 28%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
26°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C
$0 交易量
18%
27°C
$0 交易量
17%
28°C
$0 交易量
28%
29°C
$0 交易量
26%
30°C
$0 交易量
18%
31°C
$22 交易量
18%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34℃或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 27–28°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance from multiple models shows mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with minimal precipitation, keeping maximum temperatures in a narrow range around seasonal norms of 25–28°C rather than allowing stronger insolation that could push readings toward 30°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate surface warming, while any brief clearing could differentiate between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 27–28°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance from multiple models shows mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with minimal precipitation, keeping maximum temperatures in a narrow range around seasonal norms of 25–28°C rather than allowing stronger insolation that could push readings toward 30°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate surface warming, while any brief clearing could differentiate between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 27–28°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance from multiple models shows mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with minimal precipitation, keeping maximum temperatures in a narrow range around seasonal norms of 25–28°C rather than allowing stronger insolation that could push readings toward 30°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate surface warming, while any brief clearing could differentiate between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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