Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日广州气温最高？
9月21日广州气温最高？
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
37°C或以上 16%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
29%
36°C
32%
37°C或以上
16%
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
37°C或以上 16%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
27°C或以下
$267 交易量
<1%
28°C
$111 交易量
<1%
29°C
$111 交易量
<1%
30℃
$392 交易量
1%
31°C
$8 交易量
1%
32°C
$104 交易量
3%
33°C
$62 交易量
5%
34°C
$853 交易量
16%
35°C
$372 交易量
29%
36°C
$385 交易量
32%
37°C或以上
$1,084 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,747结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,747结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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