**Current forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency indicate a daily maximum of 33–34°C on September 21, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with afternoon thundery showers.** This aligns with the month’s typical pattern, where average highs reach about 31.6°C and recent days have recorded peaks of 33–34.6°C amid above-normal warmth. Traders assign 100% implied probability to 33°C because official observations are expected to settle at or near that level, consistent with model consensus and the moderating influence of humidity (60–95%) and sea breezes. A realistic challenge would require either stronger daytime heating from reduced cloud cover or a shift in steering patterns that limits shower activity and allows temperatures to climb to 35°C or drop below 33°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡9月21日的最高温度?
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,996 交易量
$45,996 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,996 交易量
$45,996 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency indicate a daily maximum of 33–34°C on September 21, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with afternoon thundery showers.** This aligns with the month’s typical pattern, where average highs reach about 31.6°C and recent days have recorded peaks of 33–34.6°C amid above-normal warmth. Traders assign 100% implied probability to 33°C because official observations are expected to settle at or near that level, consistent with model consensus and the moderating influence of humidity (60–95%) and sea breezes. A realistic challenge would require either stronger daytime heating from reduced cloud cover or a shift in steering patterns that limits shower activity and allows temperatures to climb to 35°C or drop below 33°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题