Divergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日圣保罗的最低温度？
9月22日圣保罗的最低温度？
14°C或以下 95%
24°C或更高 93%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
14°C或以下
95%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
29%
18°C
38%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
38%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C或更高
93%
14°C或以下 95%
24°C或更高 93%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
95%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
29%
18°C
$0 交易量
38%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$0 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
38%
22°C
$0 交易量
16%
23°C
$0 交易量
16%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETDivergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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