Trader consensus on the highest Los Angeles temperature for September 22 centers on the 74–77°F range, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of mid-70s to around 80°F under patchy morning marine layer and fog followed by sunny conditions and southwest winds near 15 mph. Sea-breeze moderation and timing of fog burn-off introduce uncertainty between the leading bins, as stronger on-shore flow or delayed clearing would favor the lower outcome while faster clearing could push readings into the upper 70s. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology near 76°F at downtown and coastal stations, where official model consensus shows limited warming potential absent offshore flow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日洛杉矶气温最高?
74-75°F 47%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 11%
78-79°F 4%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 47%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 11%
78-79°F 4%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on the highest Los Angeles temperature for September 22 centers on the 74–77°F range, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of mid-70s to around 80°F under patchy morning marine layer and fog followed by sunny conditions and southwest winds near 15 mph. Sea-breeze moderation and timing of fog burn-off introduce uncertainty between the leading bins, as stronger on-shore flow or delayed clearing would favor the lower outcome while faster clearing could push readings into the upper 70s. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology near 76°F at downtown and coastal stations, where official model consensus shows limited warming potential absent offshore flow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题