Wellington's springtime variability keeps the market tightly split between 15°C and 16°C as the day's likely maximum, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on highs near 14–15°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Strong northerly flow can briefly elevate temperatures above seasonal averages of about 14°C, yet increasing southerly shifts and cloud cover later in the day introduce downward pressure that prevents stronger consensus on 17°C or higher. Real-time station data showing morning readings in the low teens reinforce trader focus on whether afternoon peaks clear the 15°C threshold amid typical coastal moderation and model spread in wind-driven warming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 57%
16°C 38%
17°C 7%
18°C <1%
最新
$25,287 交易量
最新
$25,287 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
54%
16°C
40%
17°C
7%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
15°C 57%
16°C 38%
17°C 7%
18°C <1%
最新
$25,287 交易量
最新
$25,287 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$1,337 交易量
<1%
11°C
$987 交易量
<1%
12°C
$705 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,193 交易量
<1%
14°C
$5,741 交易量
<1%
15°C
$6,359 交易量
54%
16°C
$3,829 交易量
40%
17°C
$2,425 交易量
7%
18°C
$911 交易量
<1%
19°C
$338 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$462 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's springtime variability keeps the market tightly split between 15°C and 16°C as the day's likely maximum, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on highs near 14–15°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Strong northerly flow can briefly elevate temperatures above seasonal averages of about 14°C, yet increasing southerly shifts and cloud cover later in the day introduce downward pressure that prevents stronger consensus on 17°C or higher. Real-time station data showing morning readings in the low teens reinforce trader focus on whether afternoon peaks clear the 15°C threshold amid typical coastal moderation and model spread in wind-driven warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,287结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's springtime variability keeps the market tightly split between 15°C and 16°C as the day's likely maximum, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on highs near 14–15°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Strong northerly flow can briefly elevate temperatures above seasonal averages of about 14°C, yet increasing southerly shifts and cloud cover later in the day introduce downward pressure that prevents stronger consensus on 17°C or higher. Real-time station data showing morning readings in the low teens reinforce trader focus on whether afternoon peaks clear the 15°C threshold amid typical coastal moderation and model spread in wind-driven warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,287结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETWellington's springtime variability keeps the market tightly split between 15°C and 16°C as the day's likely maximum, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on highs near 14–15°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Strong northerly flow can briefly elevate temperatures above seasonal averages of about 14°C, yet increasing southerly shifts and cloud cover later in the day introduce downward pressure that prevents stronger consensus on 17°C or higher. Real-time station data showing morning readings in the low teens reinforce trader focus on whether afternoon peaks clear the 15°C threshold amid typical coastal moderation and model spread in wind-driven warming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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