Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 23 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds, consistent with late-September climatology where average highs reach 31–32°C. Trader consensus around 33–35°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing potential and convective timing, which can either cap or briefly allow higher readings under subtropical monsoon conditions. Recent days have seen peaks near 35–36°C before rain suppressed temperatures, creating a narrow distribution where model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation determines whether the high stays at or exceeds 34°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise daily maximum at urban stations.