Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
9月18日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
13°C 30%
12°C 23%
11°C 12%
14°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
7°C或以下
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
12%
12°C
23%
13°C
30%
14°C
12%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C或更高
5%
13°C 30%
12°C 23%
11°C 12%
14°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
2%
10°C
$0 交易量
7%
11°C
$0 交易量
12%
12°C
$0 交易量
23%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$0 交易量
12%
15°C
$0 交易量
11%
16°C
$0 交易量
7%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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