Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September subtropical conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by humidity near 70-80%. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter the thermal profile in the next 48 hours. The near-even market split between cooler extremes (21°C or below) and warmer ones (31°C or higher) reflects trader assessment of residual forecast uncertainty in exact overnight lows, driven by potential variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat island effects that could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Updated guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble outputs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日深圳最低气温？
9月18日深圳最低气温？
21°C或以下 100%
31°C或更高 97%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
100%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
37%
25°C
22%
26°C
27%
27°C
20%
28°C
8%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C或更高
97%
21°C或以下 100%
31°C或更高 97%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
22°C
$0 交易量
37%
23°C
$0 交易量
37%
24°C
$0 交易量
37%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
37%
30°C
$0 交易量
37%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September subtropical conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by humidity near 70-80%. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter the thermal profile in the next 48 hours. The near-even market split between cooler extremes (21°C or below) and warmer ones (31°C or higher) reflects trader assessment of residual forecast uncertainty in exact overnight lows, driven by potential variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat island effects that could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Updated guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble outputs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September subtropical conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by humidity near 70-80%. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter the thermal profile in the next 48 hours. The near-even market split between cooler extremes (21°C or below) and warmer ones (31°C or higher) reflects trader assessment of residual forecast uncertainty in exact overnight lows, driven by potential variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat island effects that could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Updated guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble outputs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from regional meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 18 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September subtropical conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by humidity near 70-80%. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter the thermal profile in the next 48 hours. The near-even market split between cooler extremes (21°C or below) and warmer ones (31°C or higher) reflects trader assessment of residual forecast uncertainty in exact overnight lows, driven by potential variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat island effects that could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Updated guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble outputs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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