Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Busan on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 20–21°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes clustered near 20–21°C. Trader sentiment for the 14°C-or-below bucket at 43% likely reflects residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs or potential for localized cooling under variable cloud cover, while the 24°C-or-higher probability at 33% captures upside risks from clearer skies or warmer advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日釜山气温最低？
9月17日釜山气温最低？
14°C或以下 80%
24°C或更高 71%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
80%
15°C
11%
16°C
11%
17°C
13%
18°C
20%
19°C
21%
20°C
28%
21°C
27%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C或更高
71%
14°C或以下 80%
24°C或更高 71%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
80%
15°C
$0 交易量
11%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C
$0 交易量
13%
18°C
$0 交易量
20%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$5 交易量
28%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
37%
23°C
$0 交易量
37%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Busan on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 20–21°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes clustered near 20–21°C. Trader sentiment for the 14°C-or-below bucket at 43% likely reflects residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs or potential for localized cooling under variable cloud cover, while the 24°C-or-higher probability at 33% captures upside risks from clearer skies or warmer advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Busan on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 20–21°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes clustered near 20–21°C. Trader sentiment for the 14°C-or-below bucket at 43% likely reflects residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs or potential for localized cooling under variable cloud cover, while the 24°C-or-higher probability at 33% captures upside risks from clearer skies or warmer advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Busan on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 20–21°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes clustered near 20–21°C. Trader sentiment for the 14°C-or-below bucket at 43% likely reflects residual uncertainty in longer-range model runs or potential for localized cooling under variable cloud cover, while the 24°C-or-higher probability at 33% captures upside risks from clearer skies or warmer advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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