Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日广州最低气温？
9月17日广州最低气温？
27°C 99.5%
20℃或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$651 交易量
$651 交易量
2026-09-17
20℃或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
27°C 99.5%
20℃或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$651 交易量
$651 交易量
2026-09-17
20℃或以下
$0 交易量
否
21°C
$41 交易量
否
22°C
$74 交易量
否
23°C
$121 交易量
否
24°C
$73 交易量
否
25°C
$93 交易量
否
26°C
$143 交易量
否
27°C
$45 交易量
是
28°C
$31 交易量
否
29°C
$15 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$651结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$651结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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