**Forecast models for Jeddah on September 16, 2026, currently converge on a daily maximum near 37–38°C under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly or southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity (roughly 40–65%).** This places the market’s leading outcomes (38°C at 28%, 39°C at 24%, 37°C at 23%) in a tight cluster, reflecting genuine short-range uncertainty rather than strong directional bias. Key differentiating factors include small differences in predicted peak timing, sea-breeze strength from the Red Sea, and any late-day cloud development that could shave a degree or two off the high. Recent runs show stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk and daytime highs on September 14–15 already reaching 37–39°C (99–101°F), setting a baseline consistent with September climatology for the region. Traders are therefore weighting the latest high-resolution model guidance and official Saudi meteorological updates, which can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C as the event nears. The close spread underscores how modest variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind direction, and insolation timing determine whether the peak lands at 37°C, 38°C, or edges into 39°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日吉达的最高温度?
38℃ 40%
39°C 25%
37°C 22%
41°C或更高 17%
31°C或以下
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
10%
37°C
22%
38℃
34%
39°C
25%
40°C
11%
41°C或更高
17%
38℃ 40%
39°C 25%
37°C 22%
41°C或更高 17%
31°C或以下
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
10%
37°C
22%
38℃
34%
39°C
25%
40°C
11%
41°C或更高
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models for Jeddah on September 16, 2026, currently converge on a daily maximum near 37–38°C under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate westerly or southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity (roughly 40–65%).** This places the market’s leading outcomes (38°C at 28%, 39°C at 24%, 37°C at 23%) in a tight cluster, reflecting genuine short-range uncertainty rather than strong directional bias. Key differentiating factors include small differences in predicted peak timing, sea-breeze strength from the Red Sea, and any late-day cloud development that could shave a degree or two off the high. Recent runs show stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk and daytime highs on September 14–15 already reaching 37–39°C (99–101°F), setting a baseline consistent with September climatology for the region. Traders are therefore weighting the latest high-resolution model guidance and official Saudi meteorological updates, which can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C as the event nears. The close spread underscores how modest variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind direction, and insolation timing determine whether the peak lands at 37°C, 38°C, or edges into 39°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题