Recent model runs show Buenos Aires under the influence of a post-frontal high-pressure system with southeasterly winds and clearing skies after a cold surge, favoring radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional places the expected minimum near 8–10 °C, yet ensemble spreads create uncertainty in how much additional cooling occurs if winds remain light and humidity stays low. This scientific divergence—between stronger advection of cooler maritime air versus localized surface cooling—explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11 °C while assigning meaningful probability to both 6 °C and sub-9 °C outcomes ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9月15日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
10°C 94%
4°C或以下 51%
9°C 36%
6℃ 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
4°C或以下
51%
5°C
3%
6℃
24%
7°C
21%
8°C
19%
9°C
36%
10°C
94%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C或更高
<1%
10°C 94%
4°C或以下 51%
9°C 36%
6℃ 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
4°C或以下
$79 交易量
51%
5°C
$50 交易量
3%
6℃
$23 交易量
24%
7°C
$37 交易量
21%
8°C
$37 交易量
19%
9°C
$185 交易量
36%
10°C
$0 交易量
94%
11°C
$0 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$22 交易量
<1%
14°C或更高
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show Buenos Aires under the influence of a post-frontal high-pressure system with southeasterly winds and clearing skies after a cold surge, favoring radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional places the expected minimum near 8–10 °C, yet ensemble spreads create uncertainty in how much additional cooling occurs if winds remain light and humidity stays low. This scientific divergence—between stronger advection of cooler maritime air versus localized surface cooling—explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11 °C while assigning meaningful probability to both 6 °C and sub-9 °C outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$448结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show Buenos Aires under the influence of a post-frontal high-pressure system with southeasterly winds and clearing skies after a cold surge, favoring radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional places the expected minimum near 8–10 °C, yet ensemble spreads create uncertainty in how much additional cooling occurs if winds remain light and humidity stays low. This scientific divergence—between stronger advection of cooler maritime air versus localized surface cooling—explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11 °C while assigning meaningful probability to both 6 °C and sub-9 °C outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$448结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent model runs show Buenos Aires under the influence of a post-frontal high-pressure system with southeasterly winds and clearing skies after a cold surge, favoring radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional places the expected minimum near 8–10 °C, yet ensemble spreads create uncertainty in how much additional cooling occurs if winds remain light and humidity stays low. This scientific divergence—between stronger advection of cooler maritime air versus localized surface cooling—explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11 °C while assigning meaningful probability to both 6 °C and sub-9 °C outcomes ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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