**Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 21–22°C for Shanghai on September 16, 2026, with highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northeast winds.** This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical mid-September northeasterly flow, positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 39% implied probability. Nearby bins (21°C at 19.5%, 23°C at 22%) capture model spread and minor uncertainties in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Warmer extremes such as 27°C or higher (24.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder outcomes (17°C or below at 10%) remain low-probability given the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss in current guidance. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日上海最低气温？
9月16日上海最低气温？
22°C 38%
27°C或更高 37%
23°C 32%
24°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
14%
18°C
22%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
18%
22°C
38%
23°C
32%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C或更高
37%
22°C 38%
27°C或更高 37%
23°C 32%
24°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
14%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$77 交易量
38%
23°C
$0 交易量
32%
24°C
$0 交易量
27%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
22%
27°C或更高
$0 交易量
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 21–22°C for Shanghai on September 16, 2026, with highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northeast winds.**
This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical mid-September northeasterly flow, positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 39% implied probability. Nearby bins (21°C at 19.5%, 23°C at 22%) capture model spread and minor uncertainties in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover.
Warmer extremes such as 27°C or higher (24.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder outcomes (17°C or below at 10%) remain low-probability given the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss in current guidance.
Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 21–22°C for Shanghai on September 16, 2026, with highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northeast winds.**
This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical mid-September northeasterly flow, positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 39% implied probability. Nearby bins (21°C at 19.5%, 23°C at 22%) capture model spread and minor uncertainties in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover.
Warmer extremes such as 27°C or higher (24.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder outcomes (17°C or below at 10%) remain low-probability given the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss in current guidance.
Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$77结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of 21–22°C for Shanghai on September 16, 2026, with highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northeast winds.** This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical mid-September northeasterly flow, positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 39% implied probability. Nearby bins (21°C at 19.5%, 23°C at 22%) capture model spread and minor uncertainties in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Warmer extremes such as 27°C or higher (24.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while colder outcomes (17°C or below at 10%) remain low-probability given the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss in current guidance. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题