Recent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日武汉最低气温？
9月15日武汉最低气温？
26°C或以上 80%
16°C或以下 70%
25°C 39%
21°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
70%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
20%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
39%
26°C或以上
80%
26°C或以上 80%
16°C或以下 70%
25°C 39%
21°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
$10 交易量
70%
17°C
$10 交易量
17%
18°C
$10 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
20%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
28%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
22%
25°C
$10 交易量
39%
26°C或以上
$10 交易量
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题